[Editor's Note: I presume readers to this web site understand
that this is "pre-packaged" news from the Illuminati's favorite
water boy, Ted Turner. This is the media set up that would have you believe
that the coming American war with China is an un-staged event, when the
opposite is the truth. Remember those highly classified computers and missile
plans that the Illuminated Clinton was handing over to China during Zipper
Gate? Who do you suppose was really getting screwed at the time?
Monica?... Ken Adachi]
By Willy Wo-Lap Lam
CNN Senior China Analyst
http://educate-yourself.org/cn/chinapreparingforwar27jun03.shtml
June 27, 2003
HONG KONG, China (CNN) -- The Iraqi war has convinced the
Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership that some form of confrontation
with the U.S. could come earlier than expected.
Beijing has also begun to fine-tune its domestic and security
policies to counter the perceived threat of U.S. "neo-imperialism."
As more emphasis is being put on boosting national strength
and cohesiveness, a big blow could be dealt to both economic and political
reform.
That the new leadership has concluded China is coming up against
formidable challenges in the short to medium term is evident from recent
statements by President Hu Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao.
Hu indicated earlier this year Beijing must pay more attention
to global developments so that "China make good preparations before
the rainstorm ... and be in a position to seize the initiative."
Wen also pointed out in the first meeting of the State Council,
or cabinet, last Saturday the leadership "must keep a cool head."
"We must boost our consciousness about disasters and
downturns -- and think about dangers in the midst of [apparent] safety,"
he said.
Alarm bells about a deteriorating international situation
have been sounded by the CCP's secretive Leading Group on National Security
(LGNS), which coordinates policies in areas including diplomacy, defense
and energy.
The LGNS, which is headed by Hu, has since early this month
called a series of meetings to discuss ways to handle the Iraqi crisis.
In the near term, of course, the focus is on the impact of
rising oil prices -- and on the need to build up a strategic oil reserve
that can last at least 30 days.
However, economic concerns are not the top priority. Given
the likelihood oil prices will drop after the resolution of the conflict,
some government economists are saying the war's impact on this year's economic
performance will be insubstantial.
Officials even cite the safe haven theory to predict foreign
direct investment flowing into China will exceed the record $52 billion
last year.
Of more concern to the LGNS is the perceived expansion of
American unilateralism if not neo-imperialism.
As People's Daily commentator Huang Peizhao pointed out last
Saturday, U.S. moves in the Middle East "have served the goal of seeking
world-wide domination."
State Council think-tank member Tong Gang saw the conflict
as the first salvo in Washington's bid to "build a new world order
under U.S. domination."
Chinese strategists think particularly if the U.S. can score
a relatively quick victory over Baghdad, it will soon turn to Asia -- and
begin efforts to "tame" China.
It is understood the LGNS believes the U.S. will take on North
Korea -- still deemed a "lips-and-teeth" ally of China's -- as
early as this summer.
These developments have prompted China to change its long-standing
geopolitical strategy, which still held true as late as the 16th CCP Congress
last November.
Until late last year, Beijing believed a confrontation with
the U.S. could be delayed -- and China could through hewing to the late
Deng Xiaoping's "keep a low profile" theory afford to concentrate
almost exclusively on economic development.
"Now, many cadres and think-tank members think Beijing
should adopt a more pro-active if not aggressive policy to thwart U.S. aggression,"
said a Chinese source close to the diplomatic establishment.
He added hard-line elements in the People's Liberation Army
(PLA) had advocated providing weapons to North Korea to help Pyongyang defend
itself against a possible U.S. missile strike at its nuclear facilities.
Forestalling the challenge Hu was elected president of China by the NPC
this month. Hu was elected president of China by the NPC this month.
Even less hawkish experts are advocating beefing up the national
security apparatus.
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) economist Yang Fan
pointed out the recent global flare-ups had alerted China to the imperative
of improving national security and cohesiveness.
"Equal weight should be given to economic development
and national security," Yang said. "As we become more prosperous,
we must concentrate our forces [on safeguarding national safety]."
What is China doing to forestall the perceived U.S. challenge?
Firstly, the CCP leadership is fostering nationalistic sentiments,
a sure-fire way to promote much-needed cohesiveness.
While not encouraging anti-U.S. demonstrations, Beijing has
informed the people of what the media calls "increasingly treacherous
international developments."
This explains what analysts including Beijing scholars considered
the unexpectedly virulent official reaction to the start of the Iraq war.
Foreign Ministry spokesman Kong Quan said the U.S.-led military
campaign had "trampled on the U.N. constitution and international law"
and that it would lead to regional and global instability.
Equally tough statements were issued by the National People's
Congress (NPC) and the advisory Chinese People's Political Consultative
Conference.
Major official media such as Xinhua and People's Daily have
run dozens of articles and analyses whose gist is that, in the words of
commentator Li Xuejiang, the invasion of Iraq had "damaged the international
order."
In an apparent departure from Beijing's cautious attitude
at the beginning of the Iraqi crisis, authorities last weekend allowed a
group of nationalist intellectuals to hold a conference condemning U.S.
"hegemonism."
The corollary of boosting national cohesiveness could be the
suppression of dissent, particularly politically incorrect views expressed
by "pro-West" intellectuals.
The warning and punishment that party authorities recently
meted out to several Beijing and provincial publications may augur a relatively
prolonged period of ideological control in the interest of promoting "unity
of thinking."
On the economic front, the authorities may play up the imperative
of concentrating resources to boost China's "economic security"
and "energy security."
"The Wen leadership is checking out why earlier plans
to build up a strategic oil reserve failed to materialize last year, when
prices were much lower," said a Beijing-based party source.
"It is possible that bucking the overall trend of market
reforms, Beijing may bring back more government fiats to sectors deemed
to have strategic and national-security implications."
It is instructive that in his 90-minute long interview with
the international media last week, Wen was quite reticent about boosting
economic reform such as the liberalization of state-owned enterprises.
In accordance with the theory of "the synthesis of [the
needs of] war and peace," civilian economic projects in areas including
infrastructure may be planned will the requirements of the defense forces
in mind.
On the military front, the Iraqi conflict will kick start
another season of accelerated modernization of weaponry.
Diplomatic analysts in Beijing said PLA officers and strategists
had been scrutinizing the latest hardware used by American and British forces.
They pointed out the PLA's astonishment at the wizardry of
American firearms used in the 1991 Gulf War was a major factor behind the
Chinese army's aggressive modernization drive through the 1990s.
Academy of Military Sciences (AMS) expert Peng Guanqian pointed
out that the Iraqi war would provide the Pentagon with "a testing ground
for new military equipment and strategies."
The Liberation Army Daily last Friday quoted unnamed officers
from the Army and the People's Armed Police as saying the PLA must "quicken
the pace of military modernization."
Such developments could in turn hasten a possible showdown
between the two countries that harbor deep-seated mistrust of each other
even in relatively tranquil times.
Also see:
The Pentagon is preparing for the first visit to the United
States by a high-ranking Chinese military officer in years.
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the opinion of the author and is provided for educational purposes only.
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