By Philip Webster
Richard Ford
Michael Evans
And Stewart Tendler
The London Times
3-23-98
BRITISH intelligence has uncovered evidence of a plot by Saddam Hussein
to flood the West with anthrax in bottles disguised as duty-free goods
if military strikes are launched against Iraq.
An "all-ports warning" has been issued by the Home Office on
the Prime Minister's orders, even though there is no sign that the plot
has been implemented. Downing Street said that although the matter was
being taken seriously, "we do not believe there is cause for alarm".
The apparent threat was contained in a confidential document sent to Customs
and Excise, Special Branch, police, the Foreign Office and the Ministry
of Defence. No comparable countrywide warning about a feared biological
attack has been issued before.
The Times understands that a source with access to intelligence in Baghdad
gave the alert before Christmas. Some information about the threatened
plot was sent to senior customs officials and police officers last Wednesday,
but the all-ports warning was not circulated until yesterday. That said:
"Iraq may launch a chemical and biological attack using materials
disguised as harmless fluids. Could officers therefore be alert for any
items which may contain harmful substances. Particular attention should
be given to containers of any size holding liquids with specific characteristics."
Details of the intelligence report were sent to President Clinton and other
members of Nato, and Tony Blair is believed to have discussed the threat
in private conversation with fellow European leaders.
The document shows that the Iraqis were apparently prepared to smuggle
large quantities of anthrax into hostile countries inside bottles containing
spirits, cosmetics perfume sprays and cigarette lighters. The warning did
not identify particular brands or say where the bottles would have been
sold or impregnated.
The Home Office warning would have included an assessment of the risk carried
out by the intelligence services. It is believed the assessment was that
while there was a potential threat, it was considered to be a low probability.
And Mike O'Brien, a Home Office minister, was keen to play down the threat.
He said: "Periodically we have information that there are threats
and we step up vigilance when that occurs. We don't want to get people
particularly scared at the moment."
The Home Office, MI5, police and emergency services have well-rehearsed
contingency plans for dealing with terrorist attacks involving nuclear,
biological or chemical weapons. These were exercised before the 1991 Gulf
War and were re-examined during the recent crisis with Iraq over United
Nations arms inspections.
Then, the Government advised all service personnel sent to the Gulf to
have a series of anthrax vaccines. George Robertson, the Defence Secretary,
volunteered to set an example and has had his first vaccination.
Anthrax is the most deadly toxic substance in Saddam's armoury. A "spoonful"
of the spores could kill 100,000 people if distributed effectively - for
example through aerosols or crop-spraying equipment - and anyone ingesting
the spores would die within five days.
The potency of the disease was shown by a Ministry of Defence experiment
on a remote Scottish island in 1942. Spores were released next to sheep
tethered to the uninhabited land of Gruinard, and the animals monitored
as they died. But even after the sheep had been destroyed and the heather
burnt, it was found that the spores had penetrated the soil and the island
remained a forbidden toxic zone for nearly half a century.
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